SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
36.71% ( 0.69) | 26.52% ( 0.16) | 36.76% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.67) | 52.4% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.58) | 74.08% ( 0.58) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( 0.09) | 27.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.11) | 63.09% ( -0.11) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( -0.81) | 27.54% ( 0.81) |
