SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
46.48% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.05) | 29.04% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( 0.26) | 45.71% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( 0.25) | 68.02% ( -0.25) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0.11) | 19.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.19% ( 0.17) | 51.81% ( -0.16) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 0.18) | 29.2% ( -0.17) |
