SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.87% ( -1) | 27.2% ( -0.37) | 41.93% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( 1.11) | 56.04% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.89) | 77.12% ( -0.89) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.14) | 33.19% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% ( -0.15) | 69.8% ( 0.14) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( 1.26) | 26.37% ( -1.26) |
