Celta's home form this season has been disappointing, but Rayo have not travelled particularly well, which makes this a difficult match to call. Both sides are enjoying impressive campaigns, though, and there will be plenty of attacking talent on the field, so we are predicting an entertaining draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
