SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
39.51% ( 0.1) | 28.09% ( -0.02) | 32.4% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.08% ( 0.07) | 58.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.59% ( 0.06) | 79.41% ( -0.05) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.09) | 29.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.12) | 64.99% ( -0.11) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.02) | 33.61% ( 0.02) |
