Rayo are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Espanyol, who were so close to claiming a point at Atletico on Sunday. However, the capital outfit have struggled away from home for much of the season, and we are expecting Espanyol to put another three points on the board here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
