SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Getafe |
44.77% ( -0.86) | 26.83% ( 0.34) | 28.4% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( -1.04) | 55.66% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% ( -0.85) | 76.81% ( 0.85) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.88) | 24.75% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.68% ( -1.24) | 59.31% ( 1.24) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.15) | 34.85% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.41% ( -0.15) | 71.59% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 13 | 51 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
| 13 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 16 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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