Rayo are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Barcelona, who lost at home last time out against Cadiz. That said, the Catalan giants will be the huge favourites at Camp Nou, and we are not expecting a shock result to take place this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
