Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
