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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
Apr 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
MVV
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 0-1 MVV
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.97%) and 0-1 (6.76%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
24.99%21.22%53.79%
Both teams to score 64.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38%33.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57%55.43%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23%25.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28%60.72%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29%12.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07%38.93%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 24.99%
    Jong Ajax 53.79%
    Draw 21.22%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.9%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 6.5%
0-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 4.41%
1-4 @ 3.35%
0-4 @ 2.47%
2-4 @ 2.27%
1-5 @ 1.38%
3-4 @ 1.03%
0-5 @ 1.02%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jong PSV 2-2 MVV
Monday, April 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-1 SBV Excelsior
Friday, April 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 2-4 Jong Utrecht
Friday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-3 Almere City
Sunday, March 27 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-3 MVV
Friday, March 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 6-1 VVV-Venlo
Monday, April 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Jong Ajax
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Oss
Monday, April 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, April 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 2-2 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

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