Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
