Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
