Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
