SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw has a probability of 17.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan has a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it is 0-1 (3.64%).
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
74.42% ( -0.17) | 17.14% ( 0.12) | 8.44% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.35) | 47.5% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.32) | 69.71% ( 0.32) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0.14) | 11.16% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.36% ( -0.31) | 35.64% ( 0.3) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.24% ( -0.11) | 55.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.67% ( -0.07) | 88.33% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 74.41% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.14% | 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 8.44% |
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