World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 25, 2025 at 12am UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
vs.
Uzbekistan

Data Analysis

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Iran and Uzbekistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 27.62% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win is 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
Iran	Draw	Uzbekistan
46.57% ( -0.21)	25.8% ( -0.3)	27.62% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

1.5)

52.09% (

-1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18% (

1.28)

73.81% (

-1.27)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

0.54)

22.35% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

0.8)

55.83% (

-0.8)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

1.2)

33.56% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

1.29)

70.2% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Iran 46.56%

Uzbekistan 27.62%

Draw 25.8%

Iran	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.62%