SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 33.32% and a draw has a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win is 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.33%).
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
33.32% ( 2.64) | 28.82% ( -0.09) | 37.86% ( -2.55) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.66% ( 0.81) | 61.33% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% ( 0.6) | 81.24% ( -0.6) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( 2.36) | 34.23% ( -2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 2.45) | 70.92% ( -2.45) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( -1.12) | 31.26% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( -1.33) | 67.61% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.7)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 37.86% |
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