SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Turkmenistan |
72.32% ( 0.51) | 17.51% ( -0.04) | 10.16% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( -1.24) | 43.79% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -1.22) | 66.18% ( 1.22) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( -0.2) | 10.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.36% ( -0.45) | 34.63% ( 0.45) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.36% ( -1.74) | 49.63% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.6% ( -1.25) | 84.4% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.54)3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 72.31% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.51% | 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.22% Total : 10.16% |
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