SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Jordan |
61.9% ( 4.38) | 22.63% ( -1.67) | 15.47% ( -2.71) |
| Both teams to score 44.46% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( 2.18) | 53% ( -2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( 1.82) | 74.6% ( -1.83) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( 2.38) | 16.67% ( -2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( 4.1) | 46.54% ( -4.1) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.36% ( -2.19) | 46.64% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.79% ( -1.72) | 82.21% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.83)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 1.02)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.47)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.67)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.72% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.76) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.69)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.93) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.27% Total : 15.47% |
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