SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
61.45% ( 53.44) | 21.78% ( 6.24) | 16.78% ( -59.67) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 7.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -5.6) | 47.41% ( 5.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -5.41) | 69.63% ( 5.42) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 38.15) | 14.92% ( -38.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% ( 43.39) | 43.3% ( -43.39) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% ( -32.39) | 41.57% ( 32.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% ( -46.97) | 78.06% ( 46.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 8.71) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 10.24)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 7.52)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 6.91)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 5.76)4-0 @ 3.39% ( 3.35)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 2.89)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 2.15)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 1.21)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 1.28)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 1.12)Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.44% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 2.98) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 1.34)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 1.54)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -6.18) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -4.26)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -11.49)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -5.68)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.96)Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
