Uzbekistan do have quality throughout the pitch and should not be taken lightly, but USA will expect to pick up a relatively comfortable victory on home soil and we see them having too much for the White Wolves.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
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