SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 4.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.36%) and 0-3 (13.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.75%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-0 (2.95%).
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | USA |
4.82% ( -0.16) | 16.12% ( -0.03) | 79.06% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 25.11% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.47) | 56.02% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( -0.38) | 77.11% ( 0.38) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.82) | 71.39% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 4.55% ( -0.28) | 95.45% ( 0.28) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.08) | 12.26% ( 0.08) |
