SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.03%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Minai |
72.49% ( 0.35) | 17.84% ( 0.13) | 9.67% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.05% ( -2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -1.93) | 46.69% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -1.83) | 68.95% ( 1.83) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.44) | 11.46% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.72% ( -0.96) | 36.28% ( 0.96) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.49% ( -2.2) | 52.51% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.67% ( -1.46) | 86.33% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Minai |
| 2-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.81)3-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.48% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 56 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Minai | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Veres | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Rukh Lviv | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 28 |
| 14 | Inhulets | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 49 | -31 | 13 |
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