SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
15.81% ( 0.01) | 19.49% ( 0) | 64.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.02) | 38.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( 0.02) | 61.31% ( -0.02) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.03) | 37.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.55% ( 0.03) | 74.45% ( -0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( 0) | 11.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.96% ( 0) | 36.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.81% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.49% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 4% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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