SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
20.45% ( 0.17) | 20.58% ( 0.09) | 58.98% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.17) | 36.13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.76% ( -0.19) | 58.24% ( 0.19) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.06) | 30.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.78% ( 0.07) | 67.22% ( -0.07) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( -0.13) | 12.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.47% ( -0.27) | 37.53% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 20.45% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 58.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 18 | 42 | 63 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 58 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Veres | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Minai | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
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