SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Lviv win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
36.03% ( 2.24) | 28.37% ( -0.52) | 35.6% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.4% ( 1.92) | 59.6% ( -1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% ( 1.45) | 79.93% ( -1.45) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( 2.47) | 31.52% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.08% ( 2.76) | 67.91% ( -2.76) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.11) | 31.8% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.76% ( -0.13) | 68.23% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.75)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.9) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.54)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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