SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
51.58% ( 0.12) | 26.94% ( -0.04) | 21.49% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( 0.09) | 60.68% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% ( 0.07) | 80.75% ( -0.07) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.09) | 23.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.1% ( 0.13) | 57.9% ( -0.13) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.02) | 43.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.92% ( -0.01) | 80.08% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 51.57% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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