SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
46.13% ( -0.02) | 26.2% ( 0.01) | 27.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.02) | 53.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.01) | 75.13% ( 0.01) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.01) | 23.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.89% ( -0.02) | 57.11% ( 0.02) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% | 34.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.94% | 71.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 64 |
| 2 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 18 | 42 | 63 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Veres | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Minai | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
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