SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metal Kharkiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
37.79% ( -0.05) | 27.1% ( -0.02) | 35.11% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( 0.11) | 54.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( 0.09) | 76.12% ( -0.09) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.02) | 28.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.24% ( 0.02) | 63.76% ( -0.03) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.1) | 29.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.22% ( 0.13) | 65.78% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 53 | 16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 45 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Minai | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 22 |
| 12 | Veres | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 19 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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