SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | FC Lviv |
53.15% ( -0.66) | 25.29% ( 0.27) | 21.56% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( -0.6) | 54.96% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% ( -0.5) | 76.24% ( 0.5) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.51) | 20.69% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.71% ( -0.8) | 53.29% ( 0.8) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( 0.05) | 40.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.83% ( 0.05) | 77.17% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 18 | 42 | 63 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 58 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Veres | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Minai | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
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