SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 52.28% | 26.39% ( 0) | 21.33% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% ( -0.01) | 59.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( -0.01) | 79.49% ( 0.01) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -0) | 22.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.59% ( -0.01) | 56.41% ( 0.01) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.86% ( -0) | 43.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.59% ( -0) | 79.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Inhulets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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