SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
40.22% ( 0.62) | 28.08% ( -0.26) | 31.7% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( 0.83) | 59.05% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( 0.64) | 79.51% ( -0.64) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.76) | 28.73% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.43% ( 0.94) | 64.57% ( -0.94) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( 0.18) | 34.17% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.14% ( 0.19) | 70.87% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 53 | 16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 45 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 25 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Minai | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 22 |
| 13 | Veres | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 19 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 13 |
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