SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Minai had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Minai win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
18.79% ( -0.32) | 21.4% ( -0.12) | 59.8% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( 0.06) | 42.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 0.06) | 64.92% ( -0.06) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.3) | 36.32% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.9% ( -0.31) | 73.1% ( 0.31) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 0.16) | 13.83% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.81% ( 0.31) | 41.19% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.79% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Inhulets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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