SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Lviv |
78.84% ( -0.06) | 14.16% ( 0.04) | 7% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.16) | 39.07% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.61% ( -0.17) | 61.39% ( 0.16) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.03% ( -0.05) | 7.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.86% ( -0.13) | 28.14% ( 0.12) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.08) | 53.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.84% ( -0.05) | 87.15% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 2-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.56% 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 78.84% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.16% | 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 42 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 30 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Minai | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Veres | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Rukh Lviv | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Inhulets | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 48 | -30 | 13 |
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