SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
38.65% ( -0.23) | 27.48% ( 0.06) | 33.87% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% ( -0.22) | 56.43% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( -0.18) | 77.43% ( 0.18) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.24) | 28.37% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.89% ( -0.3) | 64.11% ( 0.3) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0) | 31.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.32% ( -0) | 67.68% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 60 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 57 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 50 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 33 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 27 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 27 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | Minai | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Veres | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 13 |
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