SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
43.99% ( -1.09) | 25.46% ( 0.12) | 30.55% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( -0.06) | 49.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.05) | 71.25% ( 0.05) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0.53) | 22.31% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.22% ( -0.79) | 55.78% ( 0.79) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.65) | 29.91% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.99% ( 0.78) | 66.01% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 53 | 16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 45 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29 |
| 8 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Minai | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 22 |
| 12 | Veres | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 19 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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