Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 41%. A win for Minai had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inhulets would win this match.
