SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Chornomorets Odesa | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Chornomorets Odesa | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Minai | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | FC Lviv | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inhulets | Draw | Minai |
46.39% ( 1.12) | 26.83% ( -0.33) | 26.78% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.79) | 56.52% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( 0.64) | 77.51% ( -0.63) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.9) | 24.34% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.27% ( 1.25) | 58.74% ( -1.25) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.21) | 36.63% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.59% ( -0.21) | 73.42% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inhulets | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 42 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 25 |
| 7 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Inhulets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
| 10 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Veres | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 18 |
| 13 | Minai | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Metal Kharkiv | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Rukh Lviv | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 |
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