SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Trabzonspor |
46.75% ( 1.21) | 24.68% ( 0.11) | 28.56% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -1.25) | 46.85% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -1.18) | 69.11% ( 1.18) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.01) | 20.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.02) | 52.37% ( -0.02) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -1.57) | 30.12% ( 1.57) |
