SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
55.71% ( -2.66) | 21.2% ( 0.58) | 23.09% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.09) | 35.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% ( -0.1) | 57.68% ( 0.11) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( -0.79) | 12.81% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.87% ( -1.66) | 39.14% ( 1.66) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 1.74) | 28.33% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.94% ( 2.13) | 64.06% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.45)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.34)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.71% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 88 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 87 | 42 | 45 | 80 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 45 | 31 | 69 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 62 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 41 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 40 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 83 | -64 | 23 |
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