SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
67.74% ( -0.24) | 18.2% ( 0.17) | 14.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.66) | 36.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.72) | 58.78% ( 0.71) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.24) | 9.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.17% ( -0.54) | 32.83% ( 0.54) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.33) | 38.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.78% ( -0.31) | 75.22% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 88 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 87 | 42 | 45 | 80 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 45 | 31 | 69 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 62 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 41 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 40 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 83 | -64 | 23 |
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