SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
55.3% ( -0.06) | 22.66% ( 0.02) | 22.03% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -0.02) | 43.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.02) | 66.11% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.03) | 15.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.26% ( -0.05) | 44.74% ( 0.05) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( 0.03) | 33.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.57% ( 0.03) | 70.43% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.3% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 39 | 43 | 74 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 33 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 74 | -55 | 23 |
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