SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
34.07% ( 0.11) | 25.33% ( 0.07) | 40.6% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.29) | 47.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.27) | 69.73% ( 0.26) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.07) | 26.82% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.88% ( -0.09) | 62.11% ( 0.09) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.22) | 23.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% ( -0.32) | 57.14% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 60 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | GaziantepGaziantep | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 25 |
| 17 | Giresunspor | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 23 |
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