SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
28.96% ( 0.02) | 27.83% ( -0) | 43.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.97% ( 0.01) | 59.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( 0.01) | 79.49% ( -0.01) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( 0.02) | 36.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27% ( 0.02) | 73.01% ( -0.01) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0) | 27.09% ( 0) |
