SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
38.35% ( 0.14) | 25.96% ( -0.02) | 35.69% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.07) | 50.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.07) | 72.02% ( -0.06) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.11) | 25.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.6% ( 0.15) | 60.4% ( -0.15) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( -0.03) | 27.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.58% ( -0.04) | 62.42% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 39 | 43 | 74 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 33 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 74 | -55 | 23 |
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