Although Sivasspor may be slowly turning their attention to the upcoming Turkish Cup semi-final against Alanyaspor, they usually fare well on home turf, demonstrated by just two home league defeats this season, and we think that they will hold their European chasing visitors to a draw on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
