Istanbul Basaksehir were victorious in the reverse fixture between the two sides, but Besiktas will have home advantage in their favour on Monday, and we think that the hosts will edge out the visitors to clinch their 10th home league victory of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
