SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 38 | 33 | 81 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Trabzonspor |
48.8% ( -0.06) | 25.28% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.04) | 51.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -0.04) | 73% ( 0.04) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0.04) | 20.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.07) | 53.73% ( 0.07) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.01) | 34.44% ( -0.01) |
