SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
42.61% ( -0.35) | 24.4% ( 0) | 32.98% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.1) | 43.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.1) | 65.96% ( -0.1) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.12) | 20.57% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.89% ( -0.19) | 53.1% ( 0.19) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.26) | 25.57% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.55% ( 0.35) | 60.44% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 82 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 39 | 45 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 77 | -58 | 23 |
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