SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
68.48% ( 0.44) | 18.04% ( -0.12) | 13.48% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.18) | 37.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.19) | 59.45% ( 0.19) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( 0.06) | 9.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.2% ( 0.13) | 32.8% ( -0.14) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.57) | 39.71% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.62% ( -0.53) | 76.38% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 23 | 44 | 70 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 67 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 62 | 33 | 29 | 57 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 30 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 31 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 41 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 30 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 30 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 23 |
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