SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Giresunspor |
56.62% ( 0.25) | 22.73% ( -0.09) | 20.65% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.19) | 45.73% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.18) | 68.05% ( -0.18) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.16) | 15.94% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.79% ( 0.28) | 45.21% ( -0.27) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( -0.05) | 36.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.98% ( -0.05) | 73.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 60 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Giresunspor | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 23 |
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